USA-presidenziali Novembre 2012

[shiloh]

una piccola nota di colore:

sui blog americani molti elettori democratici,
invece di scrivere Romney,scrivono Rmoney quando si riferiscono allo sfidante di Obama,anagrammandone il cognome.
.
inizialmente pensavo fosse un errore di tastiera...ma evidentemente lo fanno per disprezzo e per inquadrare bene il personaggio ai lettori...

[shiloh]

June 22, 2012

Obama Has Big Lead Among Latinos in Swing States.

A new Latino Decisions poll shows President Obama way ahead of Mitt Romney among Latino voters in the key swing states
of Arizona, Colorado, Florida, Nevada and Virginia.

"In Florida, the poll found Obama leading Romney by a margin of 53% to 37%, a slight increase from a 50% to 40% lead Obama held over Romney in a January 2012 Latino Decisions/Univision News poll in Florida.

In the five states combined Obama lead Romney 63% to 27%, however in southwestern battlegrounds of Arizona, Colorado and Nevada Obama performed even better.

In Arizona Obama received 74% to 18% for Romney, in Colorado he was favored by 70% to 22% and in Nevada 69% to 20%.

In Virginia, Obama lead 59% to 28% over Romney among Latino registered voters."

Alex Burns notes Obama
"won the Latino vote by 36 points nationally in 2008, which is the same margin he leads Romney overall across these five swing states."

http://politicalwire.com/archives/2012/ ... tates.html

[shiloh]

June 22, 2012

Obama Still Way Ahead Among Young Voters.

A new Garfield Institute poll of young voters aged 18-29 finds they prefer President Obama over Mitt Romney,
50% to 37%,
but that Obama's support has slipped significantly from the levels the president enjoyed in the 2008 presidential race.

http://politicalwire.com/archives/2012/ ... oters.html

******************************************************************
faccio presente che difficilmente gli istituti di sondaggio americani sono in grado di conteggiare questa categoria di elettori,
in quanto generalmente i giovani non sono raggiungibili e quindi sondabili attraverso le linee telefoniche fisse.
quindi onore a questo istituto di sondaggi che ci fornisce un dato importante sull'orientamento delle giovani generazioni americane.

[shiloh]

June 26, 2012

Obama Retains Edge Over Romney.

A new Wall Street Journal/NBC News poll finds President Obama has managed to retain a narrow lead over Mitt Romney in his race for re-election despite a spate of bad economic news and surging GOP optimism, 47% to 44%.

"The poll highlights challenges facing both candidates.
While Mr. Obama retains a durable base of support, his standing among white, working-class voters,
which was low to start with, continues to erode.
Interest in the campaign isn't nearly as intense as it was four years ago among young people and Latinos, who were important to Mr. Obama's victory in 2008."

"At the same time, more people viewed Mr. Romney unfavorably than favorably by a 6-point margin,
with nearly one-quarter of those polled viewing him 'very negatively,' twice the level found in December.
Mr. Romney's business background, which he has made a central element of his candidacy,
is a draw for many, the poll found.
But it is viewed negatively by even more people."

http://politicalwire.com/archives/2012/ ... omney.html

[shiloh]

June 27, 2012

Romney Getting Hammered in the Swing States.

While the national numbers from the latest NBC/WSJ poll show a stable presidential race, First Read notes Mitt Romney had a "rough month" in the swing states.

"Among the voters in our poll living in Colorado, Florida, Iowa, Michigan, Nevada, New Hampshire, New Mexico, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia and Wisconsin,
Obama's lead over Romney increases to 50%-42%.
Also in these swing states, Romney's favorability numbers have dropped:
A month ago, Romney's fav/unfav score stood at 34%/38% nationally and 36%-36% in these 12 swing states.
But in this latest survey, his national fav/unfav score is 33%-39% (that 39% unfav is tied with his all-time high) and 30%-41% in the swing states."

"What's more, the poll shows that attitudes about Romney's business background also are more unfavorable in these battlegrounds.
Among swing-state respondents, 18% say what they've seen and heard about Romney's business record gives them a more POSITIVE opinion about the Republican candidate, versus 33% who say it's more NEGATIVE.

That's compared to the national 23%-to-28% margin on this question.
The obvious conclusion here is that the negative TV ads pummeling Romney in the battleground states -- like here and here and here -- are having an impact."

http://politicalwire.com/archives/2012/ ... tates.html

[shiloh]

Usa, vittoria di Obama:
riforma sanitaria costituzionale

La riforma sanitaria voluta da Barack Obama è costituzionale.
A deciderlo è stata la Corte Suprema degli Stati Uniti, riunitasi alle 10 (le 16 in Italia) per esprimere il proprio giudizio sull'Obamacare.
La riforma è uno dei punti fondamentali del mandato di Barack Obama.

La Corte Suprema Usa ha salvato il cuore della legge,
l'obbligo per tutti i cittadini di acquistare una polizza assicurativa.
La Corte ha confermato, nella sua interezza, l'Affordable Care Act, il punto più dibattuto della riforma.
La Corte ha reso noto che il Congresso ha agito nell'ambito delle sue prerogative,
in accordo con la Costituzione,
chiedendo agli americani di sottoscrivere un'assicurazione sanitaria.
L'individual mandate è stato giudicato favorevolmente, con 5 voti contro 4,
perché equiparato a una tassa, ha reso noto il giudice a capo della Corte Suprema, John Roberts.

http://www.unita.it/mondo/usa-e-costitu ... a-1.425059


questa è una grande vittoria,
non solo di Obama,
ma di tutto il popolo americano...quello del 99% e di occupy wall street.

[shiloh]

la destra becera americana,
quella dei Tea party,
si è già scatenata contro questa sentenza della corte costituzionale,
che a loro dire ha trasformato l'america in un paese "comunista".

ma aldilà dello starnazzare di queste oche del KKK ,peraltro piuttosto pericoloso ed inquietante,
grazie a Obama, dal 2014 i 40 milioni di americani che ne erano privi, avranno una qualche forma di assicurazione sanitaria.

Una riforma assai timida, che il Presidente è stato costretto ad emendare più volte per farla passare e che non ha nulla a che vedere con quelle in vigore nei paesi dove i soviet sono al potere, quali la Gran Bretagna, la Germania o l' Italia.

Ma è meglio di niente.

La copertura finanziaria sarà in gran parte assicurata da un aumento dell' imposizione per le coppie che guadagnano più di 250 mila dollari all' anno.

Ed è questo che fa imbufalire la destra contraria alla riforma:
perché toccherà ai suoi elettori doverla pagare.
Ma siccome non lo si può dichiarare apertamente, ecco che bisogna agitare lo spettro del socialismo per spaventare i poveri e disinformati, i quali invece hanno tutto da guadagnare da questa legge.

[shiloh]

July 08, 2012

Obama Leads in the Swing States
A new USA Today/Gallup poll finds President Obama holds a small advantage over Mitt Romney, 47% to 45%, in 12 key states. It's the same margin found in a May poll.

When zooming out to include voters from the other states, the gap expands to a four-point margin in favor of Obama, 48% to 44%.

http://politicalwire.com/archives/2012/ ... tates.html

[shiloh]

situazione "electoral votes" ad oggi:

Obama.....326

Romney....212

http://electoral-vote.com/

[shiloh]

July 12, 2012

Forecast Points to Very Close Election.

Alan Abramowitz updates his presidential election forecasting model and finds

"growing partisan polarization has important implications for forecasting the outcome of the 2012 presidential election. With the American electorate both closely and deeply divided along party lines, we can expect another close election this year -
- probably closer than the 2008 election and possibly as close as the 2000 election."

"There is only one prediction that seems very safe right now -
- it's going to be a long election night."

http://politicalwire.com/archives/2012/ ... ction.html